Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.762989 0.856304 0.957811 1.076630 1.212157 1.362214 1.541347
2025-02-09 0.620265 0.747369 0.896999 1.087016 1.323125 1.608439 1.981707
2025-02-16 0.539209 0.680589 0.855912 1.091015 1.400607 1.797920 2.352128
2025-02-23 0.487439 0.639000 0.835139 1.110298 1.490695 2.004405 2.761505
2025-03-02 0.431374 0.583356 0.787075 1.083798 1.511087 2.113579 3.044349
2025-03-09 0.401408 0.558612 0.776300 1.104665 1.596008 2.317760 3.484214
2025-03-16 0.367005 0.523582 0.746627 1.093551 1.630536 2.448568 3.825236
2025-03-23 0.343505 0.501630 0.732972 1.103425 1.695668 2.630017 4.265406
2025-03-30 0.316716 0.472159 0.705027 1.087735 1.717588 2.743216 4.603757
2025-04-06 0.295315 0.448914 0.684229 1.080630 1.751378 2.877362 4.992034
2025-04-13 0.267558 0.413495 0.641369 1.033423 1.712821 2.883707 5.150042
2025-04-20 0.255488 0.402010 0.635603 1.046911 1.778653 3.077044 5.676203
2025-04-27 0.244916 0.392443 0.632643 1.065671 1.857049 3.304014 6.303445
2025-05-04 0.233169 0.380059 0.624015 1.073738 1.916939 3.503574 6.905090
2025-05-11 0.221850 0.367475 0.613900 1.077894 1.969331 3.693531 7.511959
2025-05-18 0.213924 0.360092 0.612125 1.096897 2.051523 3.950358 8.297749
2025-05-25 0.199712 0.340662 0.587500 1.070756 2.042187 4.020326 8.678181
2025-06-01 0.193521 0.335082 0.587378 1.091342 2.128448 4.297865 9.574079
2025-06-08 0.183404 0.321678 0.571868 1.080377 2.148376 4.435434 10.158050
2025-06-15 0.176810 0.314299 0.567024 1.090119 2.212555 4.676540 11.031025
2025-06-22 0.167507 0.301251 0.550492 1.074640 2.220679 4.792051 11.603499
2025-06-29 0.159901 0.290944 0.538542 1.067630 2.246651 4.951319 12.314360
2025-07-06 0.148257 0.272204 0.508909 1.021055 2.179363 4.883056 12.403546